1 May 2006
The long rains over much of Tanzania have been heavier than expected, though the distribution is still patchy. This has brought welcome relief from the long, harsh drought of the last few months and also broken the cycle of rather meagre long rains for the last two to three years.
The Serengeti is very green, with plenty of grazing and standing water. The Migration has been settled in the Ndutu/Naabi/Gol area for some time now, and spread over a relatively large area. Access to some locations has become quite tricky due to the sheer amount of rain that has fallen.
The Migration would normally stay in this area as long as the conditions are good and as they are now, we may find the wildebeest delay moving off to central Serengeti and the Western Corridor for a while.
Traditionally, the rain eases off considerably in the Serengeti during the month of May and the herds often start moving quite early on in the month. However, without trying to second guess the weatherman, this year could be different.