28 March 2007
Over the last three weeks, we have only had sporadic and patchy showers in the general short grass plain area. This means that some areas have started to dry out whilst others remain green. The Ndutu area seems to be dryer than most, and so the main concentration of the herd that were south of Ndutu have moved westwards, and are on the medium grass plans between Ndutu and Kusini.
There are still scattered, but decent numbers over the whole short grass plains area, and all other game sightings remain excellent. The weather forecast for the next week predicts more of the same. We would expect the migration to stay in this general area for a few more weeks to come.
8 March 2007
The rains have eased off in the last two weeks and the plains have been drying out. Consequently, the herds are moving off the shortest grass, which dries up the first, and into the mid length grass towards mti mitatu/Naabi/Kusini plains. There are still sizeable numbers in the Makao area.
The calving is in full swing, as per our last report, and the carnivores are in attendance licking their lips. It looks as if the calving will continue for a couple more weeks and then the numbers should trail off.
The weather charts show showers for the weekend and onwards. The rains may bring them back onto the short grass plains if they are heavier enough to refresh the grass.
8 February 2007
The Migration herds are still in the short grass plains area, where we would expect them to remain for the next couple of months or so, depending on how long the rains stay with us. Currently there seem to be two main bulk herds: one is south of Ndutu on the Makao plains and the other around Lemuta and the Gol Mountain area. However, these concentrations will change, both in number and location, on a daily basis within the general area of the Migration triangle: South Loliondo/Gol/Barafu/Naabi/Ndutu/Makao. There will also be major groups of wildebeest throughout this whole area separate from these two main concentrations.
The wildebeest calving has started with new calves seen in the Ndutu — Makao area. Around Lemuta, there are the odd wildies that have given birth but it is not as far advanced. We would expect the calving to carry on for the next month to 6 weeks and of course there will still be some late arrivals after that. Given the early on-set of the rains, it is surprising that the calving season is not equally early but it is actually following the patterns of the previous few years.
The rains are following a traditional pattern at the moment, in that we go through rainy periods of a week or so followed by drier periods of similar length. The rainy periods are definitely still much heavier than normal but there is little disruption to safari itineraries as there was over Xmas and New Year. This seems set to continue for the time being.