8 February 2007
The Migration herds are still in the short grass plains area, where we would expect them to remain for the next couple of months or so, depending on how long the rains stay with us. Currently there seem to be two main bulk herds: one is south of Ndutu on the Makao plains and the other around Lemuta and the Gol Mountain area. However, these concentrations will change, both in number and location, on a daily basis within the general area of the Migration triangle: South Loliondo/Gol/Barafu/Naabi/Ndutu/Makao. There will also be major groups of wildebeest throughout this whole area separate from these two main concentrations.
The wildebeest calving has started with new calves seen in the Ndutu — Makao area. Around Lemuta, there are the odd wildies that have given birth but it is not as far advanced. We would expect the calving to carry on for the next month to 6 weeks and of course there will still be some late arrivals after that. Given the early on-set of the rains, it is surprising that the calving season is not equally early but it is actually following the patterns of the previous few years.
The rains are following a traditional pattern at the moment, in that we go through rainy periods of a week or so followed by drier periods of similar length. The rainy periods are definitely still much heavier than normal but there is little disruption to safari itineraries as there was over Xmas and New Year. This seems set to continue for the time being.
26 January 2007
There were heavy rains in the Serengeti again last week, which brought more temporary discomfort and mud as well as refreshing the temporary water holes and the supporting the nutritious grasses. However, it did not approach the drenching of the three week holiday period and again, we are in a dry spell.
It looks as if the weather patterns have reverted to something much more normal for the time of year. The short term forecast is predicting heavier rain mid next week.
During the very wet times, the Migration tends to leave the wooded areas and the mid grass plains and head onto the classic short grass plains around the Naabi/Ndutu triangle and the adjacent areas as well as the Sanjan. As it dries out, they tend to spread further, moving back to the Woodland and outer plains that are no longer quite so boggy. This is the pattern that we are seeing at the moment and is reflected as each weather system comes and goes.
Seronera airstrip has now re-opened which solves the serious access, transfer and airstrip issues that have dogged travellers and operators since the 15th Dec
5 January 2007
The weather is indeed improving!
Over the last couple of days, the rains in the Serengeti have eased considerably and this has made access to airstrips and many game drive areas much easier. However, there are still areas in the Park where it is not possible to go due to excess rain and saturated soil.
The predictions for the next week show some moderate to light rain over the next couple of days followed by a few days of sporadic showers. This should make the going much more comfortable.
Seronera airstrip is still closed but the break in weather might make it possible for the Park Authorities to finish the upgrade. Ndutu, SGS, Fort Ikoma, Lobo airstrips are all operating, subject to any localised rain at the time of the flights which might close some for short periods or make access tricky.
The game situation remains as below: excellent on the short and medium grass plains of the south and central Serengeti and Loliondo