09 July 2013
Africa to see huge population rise
The UN’s latest Word Population Prospects report, released this week projection show that the global population will soar to 11 billion by the end of the century.
The most startling figures emerge from Africa, where three quarters of the growth takes place. By 2100, Africa’s population is expected to reach 4.1 billion people. That would equal more than a third of the total population. Four African nations will contribute the majority of growth: Nigeria, Uganda, Tanzania and the Democratic Republic of Congo. In Nigeria, the population will reach 914 million, surpassing the United States. With 160 million, Kenya currently rated 31st in world would become the world’s 15th most populous nation.
The reason for Africa’s overall growth is straightforward. Since 2010, fifteen sub-Saharan nations saw a five per cent increase in their fertility rates. In addition, medical advancements have seen improved life expectancies in the developing world. The Least Developed Countries (LDCs) have an estimated life expectancy of 58 years, but by 2100 it could reach 78 years.
Other regions of the world, however, show declines. Europe’s population will drop by 14 per cent and China’s will decrease, as India transitions into the world’s most populous nation.
Graphics:
Top 10 in 2013:
China 1.4 billion
India 1.2 billion
USA 320 million
Indonesia 250 million
Brazil 200 million
Pakistan 182 million
Nigeria 174 million
Bangladesh 157 million
Russian Federation 143 million
Japan 127 million
Kenya = 31st, 44 million
Top 10 in 2100:
India 1.6 billion
China 1.1 billion
Nigeria 914 million
USA 462 million
Indonesia 315 million
United Rep. of Tanzania 276 million
Pakistan 263 million
Dem. Rep. of the Congo 262 million
Ethiopia 243 million
Uganda 205 million
Kenya = 15th, 160 million